Poll shows Carpenter with slight lead over Hill

October 31, 2016
San Luis Obispo Councilman Dan Carpenter

San Luis Obispo Councilman Dan Carpenter

In the contentious race for the San Luis Obispo County District 3 supervisor seat, Dan Carpenter has a slight lead over his rival Adam Hill, according to a CalCoastNews poll conducted Sunday.

Among decided voters, San Luis Obispo City Councilman Dan Carpenter holds a 7-point lead over incumbent Supervisor Adam Hill. Carpenter leads with 53.66 percent followed by Hill at 46.33 percent. Of registered voters polled, 29 percent said they were still undecided.

The CCN poll has a margin of error of less than 5.5 points. CCN contracted with a phone survey company to call a randomized list of district voters.

In an Aug. 1 poll, Carpenter led over Hill. Then just a month and a half later, Hill commanded a 6-point lead following a barrage of negative advertising by the Hill campaign.

Carpenter’s latest poll bounce comes after Hill allegedly attempted a pay-to-play shakedown of the Home Builders Association of the Central Coast. In addition, Sam Blakeslee, Jim Duenow and Debbie Peterson publicly denounced Hill for his bullying behavior.

The bulk of District 3 voters, 56 percent, live in San Luis Obispo. Next in line is Grover Beach at 21 percent, Pismo Beach at 17 percent, rural Arroyo Grande at 6 percent and Avila Beach at 3 percent. District 3 has 2.036 more Democrats than Republicans. Hill is a Democrat and Carpenter is not affiliated with a political party.

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Unfortunately, polls turned out to be quite wrong today.