More than 800 inmates in Lompoc test positive for the coronavirus

May 9, 2020

The number of inmates with the coronavirus at the federal correctional complex in Lompoc has exploded, with 823 inmates and 25 staffers testing positive for the virus. The prison conducted widespread testing of inmates and staff, some of whom were asymptomatic.

The majority of the cases exist at the minimum-security prison camp, where 1,162 inmates and 11 staffers currently have the virus, according to the federal Bureau of Prisons. At the adjacent medium-security United States Penitentiary Lompoc, there are 31 active coronavirus cases among inmates and 14 among staffers.

Santa Barbara County officials have voiced concerns with the prison; noting the county’s public health department has no power over the federal prison complex. Because of the prison, the county is unable to meet Gov. Gavin Newsom’s new requirements for stopping the spread of the virus and moving forward with reopening the economy.

Of Santa Barbara’s 1,132 coronavirus cases, 848 are related to the prison complex.

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While I somewhat agree with the general point that the death rate is way lower than people thought at first–most likely way lower–you have some pretty basic faulty thinking going on.

How many of the 800 people have had Covid-19 for three weeks? That’s about how long it takes to die, if you are going to die. You cannot look at the rate of infections now, and use that as the denominator yet–wait a couple weeks and see.

This is a basic error that statistic-challenged people have been making all along.

“but the only think that will give us is being closer to China where this whole mess started.”

English spoken here?

Oh dear, that is not far from the Santa Ynez Casino. Are you feeling lucky today?