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Is SLO County facing closures of bars and restaurants?

July 8, 2020

If San Luis Obispo County’s number of new coronavirus cases continues at the current rate, it is likely the state will order indoor businesses in the county to close, including restaurants, wineries, tasting rooms and movie theaters.

The state allows no more than 100 new cases per 100,000 residents over a 14 day span. SLO County is at 114 new cases in two weeks and expected to be placed on the state’s watch list. After three days on the watch list, the state orders the closure of indoor businesses and beach parking.

“Our transmission rate doesn’t tell the whole story, but it is potentially a leading indicator,” said County Health Officer Dr. Penny Borenstein. “These numbers are a strong reminder that we are bringing COVID-19 home—from travel, from work, from outings—and we need take all the necessary precautions to ensure that SLO County can remain open and our health care system can continue to care for the sick.”

During the past four days, there have been 106 newly confirmed coronavirus cases in San Luis Obispo County. Paso Robles and San Luis Obispo lead with 20 new cases each, followed by Nipomo at 16 and San Miguel at 14.

Of the 808 confirmed coronavirus cases in SLO County, 586 individuals have recovered, and two have died. Of those still suffering from the virus, there are 13 people in the hospital — five in intensive care, and 207 recuperating at home.

Cases by city:

  • Paso Robles — 195
  • San Luis Obispo — 130
  • Nipomo — 122
  • Atascadero — 82
  • Arroyo Grande — 65
  • San Miguel — 34
  • Grover Beach — 32
  • Templeton — 27
  • Pismo Beach — 22
  • Oceano — 17
  • Los Osos — 16
  • CMC — 11
  • Morro Bay — 11
  • Cambria — 7
  • Shandon — 6
  • Cayucos — 6
  • Santa Margarita — 6
  • Avila Beach — 5
  • Other county cases — 14

As of Friday afternoon, there have been 287,514 positive cases, and 6,563 deaths in California.

Currently, more than 3,097,417 U.S. residents have tested positive for the virus, and 133,977 have died.

In addition, the number of people infected with the virus worldwide continues to increase: 11,965,938 cases with 547,002 dead.


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The deaths of persons who tested positive but were asymptomatic and actually died from something else but were counted as a Covid-19 death has caused much skepticism. Who can trust the data knowing the numbers are skewed? And although the positive cases have increased, deaths have not.

There have been so many so-called ‘facts’ regarding this virus from the get-go that people have become to disbelieve all reports.


17

I trust very little anymore. Especially if it comes from Government sources. Even private sector sources are questionable since the government has MONETIZED the whole thing so much.


Silence/remove dissenters, pay off those who have no morals/values, indoctrinate and pad the system with people who are intellectually lazy or apathetic, and we get a whole new climate change-like religion of zealotry. When there is money to be made by finding the desired results, it should not surprise anyone that the desired results are usually found.


History repeats itself.


6

I know, we have statistics, more statistics and more statistics. We all know what validity statistics have depending on who is reporting them.


Simple statement-I would love to see what the statistics show 2 weeks after the November election results (no matter who wins). I have a feeling that you will have to turn to Page 2 to get a Corona story. It suddenly will have no significance to most politicians.


“You never want a serious crisis to go to waste. And what I mean by that is an opportunity to do things that you think you could not do before.” Rahm Emanuel-Advisor to Bill Clinton


20

The corona virus is world wide crises. Looking upon it as a US political event is myopic. We’re just the leader in cases, deaths, economic impact due to our poor federal government’s response due to Trump, the great imbecile.


-12

If I was a conspiracy theorist, I would say that covid is an excellent medium by which to enact a one-world government by taking down the most resistant group on the planet: western civilization. Not that a massive slew of global social engineering programs are being presented while we’re distracted, no way.


How much money/fruits of potential labor has been stolen from our and our children’s (and grand-children’s) futures?


0

Less employment, more crime, more feel good marches and the threat to cut law enforcement is a dangerous mix?


12

Statistic from a 6/3/20 NEJM study, “A Randomize Trial of Hydroxychloroquine as a Postexposure Prophylaxis to Covid-19”. Patients were exposed within 6 feet, for not less than 10 minutes to someone with Covid-19. None were wearing face masks or eye protection; 821 subject exposures. Importantly, 14.3% of the placebo group developed Covid-19. My conclusion, reasonable to estimate a 15% chance of getting Covid-19 per high risk exposure. So, we can now calculate risk:

Question: Go to a bar, no one wearing face masks or eye protection, converse within six feet to others for over an hour or two, one person is a Covid-19 carrier, how many high risk exposures would there be?

Answer: How many times were you within 6 feet for over 10 minutes to the Covid-19 carrier?

Say, you talked to the person for 30 minutes.

Question: What would be the chance of getting Covid-19?

Answer: 15% every 10 minutes of high risk exposure. So in this example, 15% for the first ten minutes, 12.75% for the second ten minutes, then 10.8375% for the third ten minutes. Total 38.6% or little better than a one in three chance.

So, why not do the easy thing? Wear a mask, eye glasses and social distance at the bar, removing the mask, glasses, and washing hands and the mask and glasses afterwards. No biggie to stay safe.


3

The way to discourage testing and reporting is doing exactly what is threatened . The message is starting to get out that it is not as deadly as once thought , mortality plummets with the cases skyrocketing . I’d use hospitalization versus bed capacity really as the sole indicator. I think that’s what they are trying to do except for the nit wit politicians . This will not go away . It’s here . We need to be so much smarter now .


18

Well, if you’re not instilled with fear and panic, then perhaps some re-education is in order!


/sarcasm


4

I have personal experience in the care of Penny. I would be dead if she would have had her way. I have never met a more incompetent doctor.


12

Well, Clay, you have my sincere sympathy. Unfortunately, I have to tell you that, as a result of my own very recent personal experience, she is not the only incompetent doctor in this County.


While we do have very good resources and facilities in this area, there are some medical personnel in this area who are a serious risk to patients’ life and safety.


I would like to elaborate, but the details would be better discussed with my attorneys.


Bottom line advice to the unwary: be very, very careful in selecting those who you will entrust with the health and safety of you and your loved ones. You only have one life, and when it’s gone, it’s gone for good.


19

I don’t know how they calculate these numbers. I tried multiple times and could not come up with a 114/day average per 100k population over the past two weeks.


2

SLO County had had 197 new cases in the last 7 days.

Read the facts here : https://www.emergencyslo.org/en/positive-case-details.aspx

(The “106 in the last four days” is not correct. There were 111 new cases in the last four days)


3

.. and testing has gone through the roof, what exactly is your point?


Deaths are the lowest they have been since March.


3 People have died in the county, all of them over 60 with underlying health conditions, one of over 80 with cancer, another 90’s with health problems.


They aren’t dying from Covid, they’re dying with it.


10