California and SLO County getting older

March 10, 2017

With a declining birth rate and rising life expectancy, California’s population will be getting older over the next several decades. By the year 2060, more than one quarter of the state population is projected to be 65 years or older.

In 2051, California is projected to join the ranks of Japan and many European states in the category of countries that have more deaths than births. Immigration, however, is expected to keep California’s population growing.

Between 2016 and 2060, the median age in California is expected to rise from 36.2 to 45, according to data released by the California Department of Finance.

The median age in San Luis Obispo County is expected to enter the 40s by 2035. In 2010, SLO County’s median age was in the 35-39 range. In 2035, the county’s median age is projected to be between 40 and 44.

In 2015, there were 26 people in the county who were 100 years or older. State projections show, in 2060, there will be 644 SLO County residents age 100 or older.

Over the next four and a half decades, SLO County is expected to grow at a little more than one third of the rate of California.

In 2016, the population of California was estimated to be 39.4 million. In 2060, the state population is projected to be 51.1 million — about a 30 percent increase.

SLO County’s population was estimated to be 276,844 in 2015. The county population is projected to be 307,681 in 2060 — an 11.1 percent increase.

Hispanics accounted for 39 percent of California’s population in 2016, one precent more than whites. By 2060, Hispanics are projected to make up 46 percent of the statewide population, while whites will account for 31 percent.

In SLO County, whites accounted for 70 percent of the population in 2015, while Hispanics comprised 20 percent of county residents.

By 2060, SLO County’s whites are expected to decline both in population and in percentage, while the Hispanic population is projected to nearly double. Whites are projected to account for about 57 percent of SLO County’s population in 2060, and Hispanics are expected to make up about 32 percent of county residents.

California’s five largest counties — Los Angles, San Diego, Orange, Riverside and San Bernardino — are projected to maintain their population rankings over the next several decades.







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8 Comments

  1. CentralcoastRN says:

    This study does not take in to consideration the health or lack thereof with this new generation. My generation will be the first to outlive our children due to the absolutely hideous diets our youth ingest. I recently met a 28 year old who had a heart attack from being so fat and unhealthy. 2 people I went to school with died at age 35 of heart attacks.

    2/3 of Americans are overweight or obese. That is 67 people and out of 100.

    Unless people change their lifestyles, the 100 year olds will be caring for the 60 year olds.

    (6) 6 Total Votes - 6 up - 0 down
    • ccmom says:

      TRUE! People need to be aware of what they are putting in their bodies! All of this “Frakenfood” and GMO products are terrible! Plus soda and energy drinks are poison as is all the booze in excess.

      (1) 1 Total Votes - 1 up - 0 down
  2. ziva says:

    These projections don’t make sense. True that the Whites are not having babies and are dying off. True that the Hispanics are coming It seems though that the ages of the future population won’t necessary be what is projected. The new Hispanic immigrants will continue to populate with babies, so that will lower the average age of Californians in the future.

    (4) 4 Total Votes - 4 up - 0 down
    • Ricky2 says:

      These sorts of projections almost never come true. They are, after all, projections of “if this trend continues then we can expect that to happen.” Trends change. Kick out the prop and the whole thing collapses.

      (1) 1 Total Votes - 1 up - 0 down
  3. Bert says:

    It’d be great if the state shrunk in population. Fewer people means fewer consumers, more housing inventory, less harm to the environment, less people on the road, and so on and so forth. I like this. We’re full as it is. Thanks.

    (7) 7 Total Votes - 7 up - 0 down
  4. sloweb says:

    I have an idea. What if one of the political parties pandered to the new demographic? That would insure secured power, right? Oh wait! One of them already is!

    (10) 14 Total Votes - 12 up - 2 down
  5. TWEEKSBALMER says:

    Another study I hope tax dollars weren’t wasted on.

    (4) 6 Total Votes - 5 up - 1 down

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