Is California facing a deadly earthquake?

October 9, 2016

san-andres-faultGeologists have increased the odds of having a major quake on the San Andreas Fault due to an earthquake swarm near the Salton Sea from 1 in 3,000 to 1 in 100 for the following week. [Scientific America]

Does the swarm mean California will be hit with a massive earthquake in the next week? Probably not.

In determining the odds of a major earthquake, Scientists examine not only recent earthquake swarms but also the reoccurrence rate on the fault.

The Salton Sea is located in Imperial and Riverside counties in an area that historically witnesses a magnitude-7 earthquake or larger every 175 to 200 years. However, there has not been a major quake in the area for 300 years.

“In the terminology that seismologists use, this is forecasting – estimating the rate of earthquakes, not predicting – which is guessing when, where, and how big will be an upcoming quake,” according to John  Vidale of the Pacific Northwest Seismic Network. “Also, forecasts tend to be longer odds, while if one says an earthquake is definitely going to happen, we consider it more of a prediction, even if the location is vague.”


Loading...

21 Comments

  1. Izzy says:

    Ever since I was a little kid I’ve been told that there is absolutely no way to predict an earthquake. Now all of a sudden we can?

    (0) 0 Total Votes - 0 up - 0 down
    • kettle says:

      When I was a little kid there were no lasers,microwave ovens, internet and many other things.

      Now all of a sudden we can, because Science!

      But that Creation theme park is available for those who can’t handle the future and want to see a real ark in action, it’s life size and able to hold 2 of every animal. Lol

      (0) 0 Total Votes - 0 up - 0 down
  2. Pelican1 says:

    Hmmm…perhaps more time should be spent by our legislator`s regarding a potentially `deadly earthquake“ rather than wasting time and the taxpayers hard earned dollars on how to subsidize in every way possible those who are here illegally and those who contribute nothing.

    (4) 8 Total Votes - 6 up - 2 down
  3. Resident says:

    Maybe not Earthquake related (because its been going on a while):

    Has anyone else noticed a strange “humming” sound or “low-frequency feel/sound/hum” between the hours of 1AM and 5:30 A.M. recently?

    I looked into what it could be, and they say Taos has a “hum”.. Not sure if related.

    Not sure why it would happen more late at night either.. I am pretty sure I don’t have a hearing problem, and others I have spoken to have also reported hearing it.

    Earthquake related, hearing related, or something else?

    (3) 5 Total Votes - 4 up - 1 down
    • circlingthedrain says:

      Oh…..you are going deep, deep into that rabbit hole my friend…..many are not ready to hear the answers to that….

      (0) 2 Total Votes - 1 up - 1 down
      • Resident says:

        Are you talking like HAARP and other Ionospheric “testing” the US and Russia are doing? If so, I’ve been looking into that also, and appears to be pretty high on the list, but also heard about “long range harrasment” of people using kind of low frequency weapon stuff.. So, besides a few other people who I have spoken to who hear it/kind of feel it almost, I’m hoping it’s an inner ear issue and none of the above.

        Those are interesting subjects as well though, wish CCN would delve into some more “unpopular” subjects that they might find are popular in fact. While we are talking about unpopular/restricted topics- Has Cal Coast News ever taken a stand on water fluoridation?

        (1) 1 Total Votes - 1 up - 0 down
        • circlingthedrain says:

          Yes, aware of ELF’s. Regarding fluoridation….I would love to have that addressed at the local level. It is time.

          (1) 1 Total Votes - 1 up - 0 down
        • kettle says:

          HAARP is a rust pile, pay attention.

          “Has Cal Coast News ever taken a stand on water fluoridation?” Why? It is a job for scientists, hey have Aaron Ochs check it out, he lies so if he say’s it is false, it’s true and so on..

          (2) 2 Total Votes - 2 up - 0 down
      • Pelican1 says:

        That “Rabbit Hole” is actually a septic tank.

        (1) 1 Total Votes - 1 up - 0 down
    • Pelican1 says:

      No, but I’ve noticed that sound coming from city and county buildings…..

      (0) 0 Total Votes - 0 up - 0 down
    • kettle says:

      That humming sound are the pumps recharging the chemtrail machine’s.

      (1) 1 Total Votes - 1 up - 0 down
  4. Jorge Estrada says:

    This may be exactly what California needs.

    (-1) 7 Total Votes - 3 up - 4 down
  5. Black_Copter_Pilot says:

    I have a greater fear of who will be our next president than whether or not we get an big EQ

    (6) 10 Total Votes - 8 up - 2 down
    • Resident says:

      Interesting how year after year 3rd party candidates are never discussed.. recently less so, even though a greater majority of the population are demanding a 3rd party candidate (at least) be included in the debates and given more media coverage.. Fat chance though, right?

      (4) 4 Total Votes - 4 up - 0 down
  6. Pelican1 says:

    Day after day, more people come to L… A…
    Don’t you tell anybody, the whole place’s slipping away
    Where can we go, when there’s no San Francisco?
    Better get ready to tie up the boat in Idaho

    Do you know the swim, you better learn quick Jim
    Those who don’t know the swim, better sing the hymn

    Tuna at the bowl
    Find fillet of much sole!
    Ooooo what can you do
    With a bushel of wet gold?

    Day after day, more people come to L… A.
    Don’t you tell anybody, the whole place’s shaking away
    Where can we go, when there’s no San Francisco?
    Better get ready to tie up the boat in Idaho

    Where can we go, when there’s no San Diego
    Better get ready to tie up the boat in Idaho
    Do you know the swim, you better learn quick Jim
    Those who don’t know the swim, better sing the hymn

    Tuna at the bowl
    Find fillet of much sole!
    Ooooo what can you do
    With a bushel of wet gold?

    Day after day, more people come to L. A.
    Don’t you tell anybody, the whole place’s shaking away
    Where can we go, when there’s no San Francisco?
    Better get ready to tie up the boat in Idaho

    Better get ready to tie up the boat in Idaho
    Better get ready to tie up the boat in Idaho
    Better get ready to tie up the boat in Idaho
    Better get ready to tie up the boat in Idaho
    Better get ready to tie up the boat in Idaho

    (-8) 10 Total Votes - 1 up - 9 down
    • Resident says:

      … That, or build a submersed water pipeline from the mouth of the Colombia River, to empty into the Central Valley, or feed into a newly created serious of reservoirs.. Something that the government for whatever reason never seems to talk about today, even though it has been talked about for decades and we are in the middle of a water crisis. Makes you wonder.

      (2) 2 Total Votes - 2 up - 0 down
      • Pelican1 says:

        There is NO way the citizens of Oregon would buy into another Owens Valley scam…they respect their water and their environment. too much..unlike California.
        Try Arizona and what’s little left of the Colorado River.

        (2) 2 Total Votes - 2 up - 0 down
        • Resident says:

          The pipeline is mostly underwater, and would effect their water supplies, because it gets pumped about 20 miles east of the outlet into the Pacific Ocean in the Columbia river.

          From there, it goes west to the ocean, along the river bed, and goes underwater along the coast to somewhere in Northern California, where it gets sent inland.

          (0) 0 Total Votes - 0 up - 0 down
  7. TWEEKSBALMER says:

    As Elvis would say “I’m all shook up”.

    (2) 8 Total Votes - 5 up - 3 down
  8. shelworth says:

    When in danger or in doubt, run in circles, scream and shout. Have some bottled water on hand, some canned food, batteries for your flashlight and radio, maybe some first aid supplies, but don’t live in constant fear. Quit listening to the alarmists.

    (14) 20 Total Votes - 17 up - 3 down
  9. Vagabond says:

    And in other shocking news, Sharks live in the ocean!

    (9) 11 Total Votes - 10 up - 1 down

Leave a Comment