Coronavirus shutdown shows dust on the Nipomo Mesa science is flawed

May 25, 2020

A view of the Nipomo Mesa from the Oceano Dunes State Vehicular Recreation Area

By KAREN VELIE

Excessive dust days have more than doubled since RVs and off-road vehicles were barred from the Oceano Dunes, data from two Nipomo Mesa air quality monitoring sites show. California State Parks closed the Oceano Dunes State Vehicular Recreation Area to all off-road and recreational vehicles on March 28 because of the coronavirus pandemic.

The air quality data called into question the San Luis Obispo County Air Pollution Control District’s theory, disputed by California state scientists, that off-road riding activities cause high dust levels detected on the Nipomo Mesa. This theory generally ignores that Oceano Dunes lies within a larger complex of coastal sand dunes created by wind blowing sand from the shoreline.

For years, the APCD and Nipomo Mesa residents have clashed with state parks and off-road vehicle riders over the cause of dust in the air at the Nipomo Mesa. Both sides agree strong westerly winds blowing over the sand dunes transport dust to the mesa.

In 2018, California State Parks entered into a stipulated order of abatement with the APCD. The agreement mandates that the state reduce wind-blown dust, specifically dust particles that are 10 microns or less in diameter, on the Nipomo Mesa by 50 percent. Despite agreeing to the various terms in the agreement, state parks still denies that off-roading causes the dust on the mesa.

Access denied: Approximately 50 acres of camping and beach area closed off for APCD dust projects.

The  primary goal of the agreement is to ensure that concentrations of dust measured on the mesa stay within federal and state standards, as measured at two of the APCD’s air monitoring sites on the mesa, which are known as “CDF – Arroyo Grande” and “Nipomo-Guadalupe Road.”

Overall, the state has spent approximately $14 million in tax payer revenue in the last 10 years to reduce dust concentrations on the mesa. The state covered more than 150 acres of dune sand with vegetation or orange plastic fencing. Additional dune-covering projects are anticipated in the coming months and years, under the theory that the obstructions would help reduce dust produced by the blowing sand.

In January, State Parks Director Lisa Mangat shut down approximately half of the camping area and about 5 percent of the riding area at the Oceano Dunes, or approximately 50 acres near the shoreline. The area was popular with campers, and provided 50 percent of the park’s camping availability.

CalCoastNews examined archived data from wind and dust measurements collected from the two Nipomo Mesa air quality monitoring sites to determine if State Parks’ mandated efforts along with the closure of the park in March would lead to a reduction in dust concentrations.

Specifically, reporters examined the number of daily exceedances of state and federal air quality standards during the month of May for the past six years at the two monitoring sites. The CDF site is approximately 2.5 miles from the dune shoreline, on the southwest edge of Nipomo Mesa. The Nipomo-Guadalupe Road site is about four miles from the shore, on the lower edge of the mesa. Agricultural lands lie between the coastal dunes and the Nipomo Mesa.

The parameters were chosen because May is typically the windiest month in south San Luis Obispo County, and 2015 predates the various dune-covering operations undertaken by State Parks.

Wind data indicates that May’s average wind speed at the two monitoring sites has varied little from year to year. At the CDF site, the May winds average at about 5 miles per hour, and at the Nipomo-Guadalupe Road site, the winds are slightly stronger, averaging about 5.5 miles per hour.

The number of exceedances of California’s air quality standard for airborne dust tells a different story. At both of the air monitoring stations, a substantially greater number of May exceedances occurred this year compared to the other years, even though there have been no recreational vehicles on the dunes; and the month of May has not yet ended.

For example, at the CDF site in May 2019, there were six exceedances, but this year, as of May 22, the exceedances have doubled to 12. At the Nipomo-Guadalupe Road site in May 2019, there were only three exceedances, but as of May 22, exceedances have nearly quadrupled to 11.

As part of the agreement, a panel of scientific advisors, known as the Scientific Advisory Group (SAG), was formed to assist in the design and implementation of the various dune-covering projects. The SAG is led by William Nickling, an emeritus professor at the University of Guelph in Ontario, Canada.

In apparent anticipation that continued high-dust days with no vehicle recreation in the dunes would cause confusion, on April 6, Dr. Nickling and other SAG members authored a memorandum regarding the vehicle closure at Oceano Dunes and possible changes in dune dust emissions.

“It is the opinion of the SAG that the accumulated impact of OHV [off highway vehicle] activity remains a significant contributor to observed PM [dust] emissions at ODSVRA, even during this period in which the ODSVRA is temporarily closed to recreational uses,” according to the memorandum. “The SAG acknowledges that the Oceano Dunes are a naturally dusty surface that would experience PM emissions even in the absence of human activity, especially during this spring windy season. But the SAG is also clearly aware that decades of OHV activity have fundamentally altered the natural beach-dune landscape, making the dunes significantly more susceptible to PM emissions than they would be in a natural state.”

However, the SAG memorandum fails to explain how the dunes have been “fundamentally altered” to emit more dust, and also why the SAG did not anticipate the number of state exceedances for dust to substantially increase in the absence of vehicle recreation on the dunes.

One theory is that the recreational vehicles that used to park on the dunes, helped obstruct the wind flow.

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Coal1441

WOW! all those NON NATIVE eucalyptus trees that were there really were brought here to tame the land!


1965buick

I predict (just a guess) the two sides will never stop fighting each other, no matter what happens.


aye-caramba

This is a SIGNIFICANT news article. The official narrative promoted by the Trib was ALL people are harmed by the dust being generated by off-road vehicles at the Dunes. The Trib sought out opinions to support that view, held a VERY biased community “whining” forum in Nipomo and just tried to stir it up (M. Vaughn, reporter). The Goal- close the Dunes to all people, Obvious to all. NOW faced with very compelling and thought provoking data, NOT in line with that agenda, Trib will NOT report this. Will these people ever JUST LEAVE EVERYONE ALONE TO LIVE PEACEFULLY? Close the Tribune, no longer a trusted news source.


Last Individual

I guess we’re gonna need some new SAG guys.


r0y

I’m often curious about “experts” and “computer models” and such when it comes to life-altering policies being implemented. Society seems so conditioned to accept without question anyone labeled as an “expert” or accepting the latest “computer model” or projections.


I seem to recall most experts are often wrong, and most models fall far short of their projections. Maybe it is me and my own confirmation bias via distrust of any information that is presented (hint: it’s presented) to me.


So now what is the plan for the dunes? Bureaucrats (and most people) hate being wrong, especially when they are emotionally invested in a “cause.”


DocT

3 comments:


1. Let’s get some scientists who are more politically reliable and understand the dunes to re-study this and arrive at a conclusion that not only backs up the folks who want to shut down the dunes, but makes them want to shut it harder and faster…..you know, supporting the science, recommending people wear masks etc.


2. The Dunes are essential to the local, “non-essential” economy and….


3. Destroying the economy is the only way we can fight Covid-19……


Therefore we need to close the Dunes forever.


I’m willing to do the study mentioned in #1 for 387,000.00 which includes 10 hours of free testimony (and prep to testify). My study will support the science and recommend closing the Dunes. I’ll cash my check and leave, never removing my mask.


Summary: Fight Covid-19 by:

destroying the economy,

removing the pleasures in life (pleasure is non-essential), and

force people to wear masks in order to gauge mental compliance among us.


Support the science! Close the Dunes! Let’s beat Covid and save the planet, etc.


standup

Just shows that the SLO APCD is a waste of our tax dollars. Time for cuts.


horse_soldier

Cut the IWMA too.


Grover

Not one word about this on KSBY or The Trib.


I’m shocked.


Albert L

OK imagine the dunes were filled with pine trees or thick tangled brush. The dust count would be reduced. Now imagine a lot of campers also diverting the wind up and over the sand. The dust count is reduced. So until proven otherwise more camp opportunities should be added to help abate the dust issue. Readings based on dust measurements, wind speed, humidity, and number of campers per day can be used to affirm this hypothesis and continue the move to increase allowed campsites as long as the numbers support the hypothesis. Demand it in court!!