State Commission points to fatal flaw in APCD Oceano Dunes dust science

May 20, 2022

Oceano Dunes dust mitigation fencing

By KAREN VELIE

State commissioners accuse San Luis Obispo County Air Pollution Control District (APCD) staff of failing to follow the basic standard of practice for computer modeling in determining the origin of dust blowing on the Nipomo Mesa, according to a May 13 letter from the State Parks Off-Highway motor Vehicle Recreation Commission to the APCD.

State Parks entered into a stipulated order of abatement with the APCD in 2018. The order requires the state to reduce wind-blown dust, specifically dust particles that are 10 microns or less in diameter, on the Nipomo Mesa by 50%.

The order of abatement requires the use of computer modeling to determine if covering the dunes with vegetation and fencing is meeting its dust reduction demand. Based on findings from the  prestigious Scripps Institution of Oceanography, the validity of the APCD’s computer modeling is now in question.

Computer models that simulate the real world are based on assumptions. For a computer model to follow the standard of practice, those assumptions must be validated with real world data. If the real world data does not correspond with those assumptions, then the model and the premise for the model are invalid, according to the letter.

For more than a decade, the APCD has claimed that on windy days, particulate pollution detected on the mesa consists of 100% mineral dust particles from the  Oceano Dunes State Vehicular Recreation Area, which is located more than two miles from the mesa.

In their letter, the commissioners refer to the process of dust emissions as saltation, which is a “natural dune building process that causes sand and finer material to be pushed and bounced downwind.” The saltation process generates mineral dust.

The APCD claims that the particulate pollution is comprised entirely of mineral dust. In its attempt to appease the APCD, State Parks  has spent more than $22 million to stop saltation in the dunes by planting vegetation and installing fencing.

The APCD and its Scientific Advisory Group use computer models to determine the effectiveness of the vegetation and fencing on lowering pollution on the mesa based on the false assumption that 100% of the particulate blowing on the mesa is mineral dust from the Oceano Dunes.

The prestigious Scripps Institution of Oceanography analyzed the particulate and determined only 14% of the particles blowing on the mesa consist of mineral dust. In their letter, the commissioners cite the Scripps study as evidence that “appears to invalidate the APCD’s Scientific Advisory Group’s modeling, and with it, the basic premise of the abatement order.”

The commissioners ask that “all constituents of PM 10 dust be considered,” including construction and agriculture.

“If there are other sources for the alleged downwind problem, those sources should be identified and quantified by the APCD and the Scientific Advisory Group so that State Vehicle Recreation Area is not the sole bearer of responsibility,” according to the letter.

Additionally, the commissioners determined the dust mitigation measures have been a “disaster” for off-highway vehicle enthusiasts “who for decades have enjoyed riding and camping at the Oceano Dunes.”

In their letter, the commissioners are asking that in the future, any “dust mitigation features in the dunes, if they are needed at all, should be located outside of the State Park riding areas, and the cost of such mitigation should not be borne by the Off-Highway Vehicle Trust Fund.”

“If these and other issues cannot be resolved, this commission recommends that California State Parks consider withdrawing from the stipulated order of abatement,” according to the letter.


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analyticone

Thank goodness state parks are finally standing up for themselves.


Debbie Peterson said just what State Parks says in the article above, on the front page of the LA Times in 2014, that “all constituents of PM 10 dust be considered,” including construction and agriculture and wrote as much in her white paper, the West Mesa Dust Report.


The APCD is doing great harm to public health by instilling fear, and a false solution, rather than mitigating the KNOWN sources and telling people the truth so they can take the appropriate action regarding their health.


greaseyote

All an excuse to get rid of offroading at the dunes, but the real reasons for that are “cultural” not environmental, they don’t like the offroader subculture/type of people that participate and want them to stop coming.


Downypaso

How does the APCD lie? Let me count the ways. First, it was that dune crust, as mythical as a unicorn—don’t even step on it! Next, the old silica lie. We the APCD are now telling you the Mesa air will give you cancer from silica. This of course was proven false by the APCD’s own data, which they tried to hide. It became the APCD’s infamous “red herring.” (https://calcoastnews.com/2020/06/the-regulators-who-cried-wolf/)


And now this: We the APCD are telling you that all of the Mesa’s PM10 is from the dunes—it is all mineral dust. And we the APCD are so clear on this that we have built our computer models on this premise—all of the PM10, 100% of it, is mineral dust. And please! We don’t want to listen to far more qualified experts who actually bothered to analytically determine that only 14% of the PM10 is mineral dust! Those are facts, and we, the APCD, don’t use facts. Our science is based on accusation, innuendo, and the incompetence of those who believe us in spite of our lying ways.


Downtown Bob

In the 70`s the dunes ranged for miles and the impacts were minimal, the compressed all the activity into smaller and smaller areas to the point where it is too many people in a small area, all for no legitimate reason,


shishkabob141

I can see Jimmy Paulding with his fingers in his ears saying “lalalalalalala”.


Zoiebowie

The origin of dust? For real? So nobody can figure out that sand has been blowing there for millions of years. And man’s tiny footprint out there in the dunes has in no way increased the amount of dust. If someone can differentiate between naturally blown sand and that of the OHVs. Then that person deserves the Nobel Prize in Science.


shelworth

Just pass a law that prohibits the wind from blowing more than 10mph…


nunsense

Don’t confuse me with facts, my mind is made up!


unusualsuspect

Both the APCD and the California Coastal Commission need to be dissolved asap!!! Frauds and liars.


Jorge Estrada

And they are a well paid travel club that we fund too, as they have a staff meeting here and there and everywhere.